Sugar Mountain

Sugar Mountain, NC

Currently

Temperature 30°F
Feels Like 20.82°F
Humidity 63%
Pressure 1019mb
Wind 15.99mph from the NNE
Clear sky 30°F Clear sky
Overnight Clear
Low: 51°F
Friday Sunny
High: 51°F Low: 39°F
Saturday Mostly Sunny
High: 59°F Low: 46°F
Sunday Mostly Sunny then Slight Chance Rain Showers
High: 64°F Low: 49°F
Monday Mostly Cloudy then Slight Chance Showers And Thunderstorms
High: 66°F Low: 51°F
Summary

SYNOPSIS

... Dry high pressure settles over the Southeast States to start the weekend. A warming trend is expected Friday through the first part of next week, with temperatures well above normal. A cold front is forecast to reach our region from the northwest in the middle of the week bringing another chance of rain and cooler temperatures.

NEAR TERM /THROUGH FRIDAY NIGHT/... As of 10:25 PM EDT Thursday: Skies remain clear across our area and winds have weakened at most sites over the past few hours. We're still seeing a handful of sites reporting low-end gusts but these should dissipate over the next few hrs, although winds are unlikely to go calm across our area as some pressure gradient remains, especially across the NC mtns. This should keep at least a light wind in place across most of the fcst area to impede the otherwise good radiational cooling conditions under clear skies. Nonetheless, lows will be roughly 3 to 7 degrees below normal. The wind and lower dewpts should help keep widespread frost from developing. However, some patchy frost in sheltered or normally cooler locations is possible.

Otherwise, heights rise on Fri as an upper ridge begins to spread over our area and broad upper trofing lifts off the Atlantic Coast. At the sfc, coastal low pressure will lift further NE and away from our area. At the same time, dry high pressure will continue to spread eastward over the Southeast. By Fri aftn, the high will be centered over the deep south with a weak lee trof developing over our area. This will allow sfc winds to pick back up from the west with another round of low-end gusts expected across our CWA. Temps will continue to warm with highs roughly 3 to 6 deg above normal on Friday. Fairly deep mixing within the WLY flow will promote drying and another day of minimum RH values likely bottoming out just below critical values (ie, 25%). Thus, Fire Danger Statements may be needed for much of the area.

SHORT TERM /SATURDAY THROUGH SUNDAY NIGHT/... As of 145 PM EDT Thursday: No major changes for the short term forecast period. Overall it's looking mostly dry and warm for Easter Weekend. Flat upper ridging will build across the southern and eastern US through the period. At the sfc, dry high pressure will be centered over Florida Friday night before gradually nudging east ward into the western Atlantic Saturday into Sunday night. Meanwhile, a cold front will stall across the Midwest/Ohio Valley Saturday into sunday. The sfc ridge should help keep the majority of the moisture associated with the front through the period. However, with the sfc high retreating farther to the south and east on Sunday, this may allow enough moisture to reach down across the NC/TN border to squeak out some rain showers. Thus, have slight chance PoPs along the spine of the southern Appalachians on Sunday. Moisture looks to retreat northward Sunday night leading to drier conditions. Temps will gradually warm through the short term period thanks to W/SW flow. Lows start out a few degrees climo Friday night, becoming 8-10 degrees above climo Saturday night and around 15 degrees above climo Sunday night. Temps east of the mountains should climb into the mid 70s on Saturday, with the upper 70s to lower 80s on Sunday. Highs on Saturday will start out 7-10 degrees above climo, becoming 10-15 degrees above climo on Sunday. Breezy winds will develop throughout the day Saturday, remaining elevated across the mountains through Sunday. Breezy winds return again Sunday afternoon east of the mountains, but should generally be lighter compared to Saturday. Gusts should remain below advisory criteria through the period. RH values look to drop below 30% across the mountain valleys and east of the mountains Saturday afternoon. This combined with breezy winds may lead to fire wx concerns the first half of the weekend.

LONG TERM /MONDAY THROUGH THURSDAY/... As of 230 PM EDT Thursday: Upper ridging amplifies over the eastern US ahead of an upper trough digs across the western US Monday into Monday night. The upper trough will continue pushing east across the central US Tuesday into Tuesday night while a large upper low develops over the Great Lakes Region. The upper low will push eastward across the Ohio Valley on Wednesday before pushing into the Mid-Atlantic region Wednesday night. Meanwhile, the sfc low will track out of the south/central Plains Monday, ending up in the Midwest/Great Lakes Region by Tuesday. The associated cold front will track across the Carolinas late Tuesday into early Wednesday increasing shower and thunderstorm chances. Since the 12Z guidance has the FROPA tracking across the CWA outside of peak heating, this may help offset the severe weather potential somewhat. The cold front should push east of the western Carolinas throughout the day Wednesday, allowing rain chances to gradually diminish east of the mountains. However, NW flow rain showers look to linger along the NC/TN border Wednesday through late Wednesday afternoon, before possibly transitioning to NW flow snow showers briefly Wednesday evening into late Wednesday night as CAA allows temps to drop behind the departing front. Have capped PoPs to chance across the western zones Monday into Monday night as the 12Z GFS and ECMWF show the potential for some showers, and perhaps thunderstorms, during this time frame well ahead of the main FROPA. Have higher PoPs Tuesday into Tuesday night as the FROPA approaches out of the west. Capped PoPs to chance on Wednesday since activity will be winding down throughout the day. Temps will remain well above climo early next week ahead of the front, with below climo temps expected along and behind the front middle of the week. Low-end wind gusts are possible Monday afternoon, mainly east of the mountains. Winds will increase across the entire forecast area on Tuesday as the cold front approaches out of the west. Winds increase further on Wednesday as the cold front tracks across the CWA, and look to linger across the mountains Wednesday night.

Sugar Ski & Country Club